+- Sons of Ivy (https://sonsofivy.com/forum)
+-- Forum: Chicago Cubs (https://sonsofivy.com/forum/forum-4.html)
+--- Forum: The Friendly Confines (https://sonsofivy.com/forum/forum-8.html)
+--- Thread: BP projects Cubs to win 95 games (/thread-7780.html)
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Fly - 02-10-2009
Link
Unwritten but assumed is the prediction that the Cubs get swept in the NLDS.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - phan - 02-10-2009
we're DOOMED!
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - ColoradoCub - 02-10-2009
Interesting... they have us leading baseball in runs scored and leading the NL in OBP.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - ColoradoCub - 02-10-2009
Here are the PECOTA projections:
bradley: 294/402/525 (EqA: .311)
soto: 288/370/519 (.297)
soriano: 281/348/538 (.294)
ramirez: 288/363/509 (.292)
fukudome: 286/386/439 (.287)
lee: 289/369/464 (.285) -- only 19 HRs
hoffpauir: 261/327/489 (.273)
fontenot: 278/356/440 (.273)
theriot: 283/359/350 (.256)
johnson: 276/337/405 (.256)
gathright: 266/337/312 (.247)
miles: 280/327/335 (.238)
bako: 234/310/332 (.221)
others of interest:
edmonds: 265/363/491 (.288)
derosa: 269/354/414 (.275)
pie: 274/333/435 (.263)
cedeno: 262/316/385 (.242)
blanco: 242/289/344 (.216)
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - ColoradoCub - 02-10-2009
And for comparison's sake, I looked up their projections for last season:
The first PECOTA projected standings were completed by Baseball Prospectus. The Depth Charts have also been completed (subscription may be required for both links).
The NL Central according to PECOTA:
Chicago Cubs: 89-73
Milwaukee Brewers: 87-75
Cincinnati Reds: 79-83
Houston Astros: 74-88
St. Louis Cardinals: 72-90
Pittsburgh Pirates: 71-91
A few notes
* The 89-73 record is 2nd best in the NL behind the Mets (96-66)
* The Cubs projected batting line is .274/.343/.452
* They’re projected to score 845 runs (only the Rockies in the NL with more)
* 5th fewest in runs allowed in the NL
* Cubs .343 OBP is 2nd to the Rockies .351
* Projected .452 slugging highest in the NL
* Projected division winners: Mets, Cubs, D-backs (tie at 86-76 with Dodgers), Yankees, Indians (tie at 89-73 with Tigers), and Angels
* Projected Wild Card team: Brewers and Red Sox
* If the playoffs began today, based on these projections, the Cubs would host Arizona in the NLDS while Milwaukee would travel to New York to face the Mets
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Butcher - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->fukudome: 286/386/439<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
[img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/spit.gif[/img]
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - bz - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17073:date=Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM:name=Butcher)-->QUOTE (Butcher @ Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <!--quotec-->fukudome: 286/386/439<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
[img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/spit.gif[/img]
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I'm having a hard time picturing him getting just one hit.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Butcher - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17080:date=Feb 10 2009, 11:54 AM:name=bz)-->QUOTE (bz @ Feb 10 2009, 11:54 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=17073:date=Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM:name=Butcher)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Butcher @ Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <!--quotec-->fukudome: 286/386/439<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
[img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/spit.gif[/img]
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I'm having a hard time picturing him getting just one hit.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
[img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif[/img]
We're in the same boat. My enduring image of Fukudome is him flailing away at a breaking pitch, low and way, while spinning himself into the ground.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Runnys - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17073:date=Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM:name=Butcher)-->QUOTE (Butcher @ Feb 10 2009, 11:33 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <!--quotec-->fukudome: 286/386/439<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
[img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/spit.gif[/img]
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
If Fuk does that we might score 1000 runs [img]style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/smile.gif[/img]
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Clapp - 02-10-2009
Earlier today it had us winning 96 games and scoring 6 more runs. I'd be really surprised if the Brewers won 83 games. I see they have Houston for 66 now, it was 67 earlier today. What the fuck? I know Houston's rotation won't be as good... but 20 games worse? Ridiculous. 79 wins for the Reds? Don't see it.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Runnys - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17091:date=Feb 10 2009, 12:48 PM:name=Clapp)-->QUOTE (Clapp @ Feb 10 2009, 12:48 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->Earlier today it had us winning 96 games and scoring 6 more runs. I'd be really surprised if the Brewers won 83 games. I see they have Houston for 66 now, it was 67 earlier today. What the fuck? I know Houston's rotation won't be as good... but 20 games worse? Ridiculous. 79 wins for the Reds? Don't see it.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I think the Reds have a better chance at 83 wins than the Brewers.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - PcB - 02-10-2009
I think Fukudome will have a decent year...he's still my homie. Clapp I'm looking at you on this one. I'm wearing it right now actually.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Clapp - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17201:date=Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM:name=PcB)-->QUOTE (PcB @ Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->I think Fukudome will have a decent year...he's still my homie. Clapp I'm looking at you on this one. I'm wearing it right now actually.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I won't wear it again in public until he's hitting over .260.
But really, I think he'll have a decent year as well. That projection is absolutely outrageous. Could he do it? Yeah, but I'm certainly not going to bet on it.
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - PcB - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17212:date=Feb 10 2009, 08:46 PM:name=Clapp)-->QUOTE (Clapp @ Feb 10 2009, 08:46 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=17201:date=Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM:name=PcB)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (PcB @ Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->I think Fukudome will have a decent year...he's still my homie. Clapp I'm looking at you on this one. I'm wearing it right now actually.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I won't wear it again in public until he's hitting over .260.
But really, I think he'll have a decent year as well. That projection is absolutely outrageous. Could he do it? Yeah, but I'm certainly not going to bet on it.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I wouldn't bet on it either, it's just a hunch.
Are you watching MLB Net right now?
BP projects Cubs to win 95 games - Clapp - 02-10-2009
<!--quoteo(post=17213:date=Feb 10 2009, 07:47 PM:name=PcB)-->QUOTE (PcB @ Feb 10 2009, 07:47 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=17212:date=Feb 10 2009, 08:46 PM:name=Clapp)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Clapp @ Feb 10 2009, 08:46 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=17201:date=Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM:name=PcB)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (PcB @ Feb 10 2009, 07:31 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->I think Fukudome will have a decent year...he's still my homie. Clapp I'm looking at you on this one. I'm wearing it right now actually.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I won't wear it again in public until he's hitting over .260.
But really, I think he'll have a decent year as well. That projection is absolutely outrageous. Could he do it? Yeah, but I'm certainly not going to bet on it.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
I wouldn't bet on it either, it's just a hunch.
Are you watching MLB Net right now?
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Not at the moment. I was just watching some of that Baseball episode/inning.