So LaRussa's a"genius," eh?

[leonardsipes]

The guys math has to be off. I thought the chance of scoring from first with no outs was about 40% and the chance from 2nd with no outs was about 60%. Seems to me, a successful steal increases the odds of winning by about 50%. However, Pujols was the batter, so it seems like a bad move, and the calculations might include that he will be IBBed. Larussa, sometimes likes to do the completely unexpected, but it seems more likely it was a missed sign, or a hit and run.