03-04-2010, 10:01 PM
<!--quoteo(post=81613:date=Mar 4 2010, 07:03 PM:name=ruby23)-->QUOTE (ruby23 @ Mar 4 2010, 07:03 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=81545:date=Mar 4 2010, 03:35 PM:name=KBwsb)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (KBwsb @ Mar 4 2010, 03:35 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=81445:date=Mar 4 2010, 07:06 AM:name=ruby23)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (ruby23 @ Mar 4 2010, 07:06 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <!--quotec-->minor-league stats are an excellent indicator of how a player will play in MLB<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
No.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd--><!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->1.Minor league batting statistics will predict major league batting performance with essentially the same reliability as previous major league statistics.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
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That doesn't say anything remotely close to this: "minor-league stats are an excellent indicator of how a player will play in MLB."
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
It seems extremely close, to me. James' is comparing MiLB stats (as an indicator for future MLB stats) to a guy's previous MLB stats (as the same indicator).
Isn't that how we do it? By looking at their stats alone, I would predict that Pujols and Mauer will probably put up similar numbers in 2010. Justin Upton is about 20 or 21, but they just gave him a monster 50+ Million contract, because they can project how he will do in the future.
Are the stats wrong sometimes? Fuck yeah. For every Evan Longoria who tore up minor-league pitching, there's probably a Felix Pie example too.
But it seems like MLB stars do tend to have put up big numbers in the minors, in general, wouldn't you say?
No.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd--><!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->1.Minor league batting statistics will predict major league batting performance with essentially the same reliability as previous major league statistics.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
That doesn't say anything remotely close to this: "minor-league stats are an excellent indicator of how a player will play in MLB."
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
It seems extremely close, to me. James' is comparing MiLB stats (as an indicator for future MLB stats) to a guy's previous MLB stats (as the same indicator).
Isn't that how we do it? By looking at their stats alone, I would predict that Pujols and Mauer will probably put up similar numbers in 2010. Justin Upton is about 20 or 21, but they just gave him a monster 50+ Million contract, because they can project how he will do in the future.
Are the stats wrong sometimes? Fuck yeah. For every Evan Longoria who tore up minor-league pitching, there's probably a Felix Pie example too.
But it seems like MLB stars do tend to have put up big numbers in the minors, in general, wouldn't you say?
There's nothing better than to realize that the good things about youth don't end with youth itself. It's a matter of realizing that life can be renewed every day you get out of bed without baggage. It's tough to get there, but it's better than the dark thoughts. -Lance