12-09-2009, 06:31 PM
<!--quoteo(post=71027:date=Dec 8 2009, 10:35 AM:name=Scarey)-->QUOTE (Scarey @ Dec 8 2009, 10:35 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=71004:date=Dec 8 2009, 08:57 AM:name=ruby23)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (ruby23 @ Dec 8 2009, 08:57 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=70999:date=Dec 8 2009, 07:09 AM:name=jstraw)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (jstraw @ Dec 8 2009, 07:09 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=70979:date=Dec 7 2009, 10:22 PM:name=ruby23)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (ruby23 @ Dec 7 2009, 10:22 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->Soto will never be an impact player again.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
He just needs to grow up.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->No, he just got lucky for about 18 months. He's Rick Wilkins.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->Statistically speaking, he was lucky in his in his rookie season. He was extremely unlucky last season though. One thing that's a big plus about Soto is his patience. If luck is not a factor, he should get on base at a .340-.360 clip and slug between .420 and .480. I'll take that from a catcher.
If you not sure what statistical luck is, take a look at this post over at NSBB. I'm not saying this is a rock solid approach, but I think it can generally tell you if a player was lucky or not in a given season. I remember vividly Soto getting a lot of hard hit balls caught, so I already had the opinion that he was unlucky. But this just gives some sort of tangible evidence to back up my claims based on vividly remembering.
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That was a good post, Scarey. I didn't know that the stats indicated that he had a low BABIP last year. That does bode well for a semi "comeback" year.
He just needs to grow up.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->No, he just got lucky for about 18 months. He's Rick Wilkins.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->Statistically speaking, he was lucky in his in his rookie season. He was extremely unlucky last season though. One thing that's a big plus about Soto is his patience. If luck is not a factor, he should get on base at a .340-.360 clip and slug between .420 and .480. I'll take that from a catcher.
If you not sure what statistical luck is, take a look at this post over at NSBB. I'm not saying this is a rock solid approach, but I think it can generally tell you if a player was lucky or not in a given season. I remember vividly Soto getting a lot of hard hit balls caught, so I already had the opinion that he was unlucky. But this just gives some sort of tangible evidence to back up my claims based on vividly remembering.
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That was a good post, Scarey. I didn't know that the stats indicated that he had a low BABIP last year. That does bode well for a semi "comeback" year.
There's nothing better than to realize that the good things about youth don't end with youth itself. It's a matter of realizing that life can be renewed every day you get out of bed without baggage. It's tough to get there, but it's better than the dark thoughts. -Lance