07-28-2009, 04:12 PM
I think I have figured out the difference between us, BT.
In my book, if there's a decision that has the highest probability of success, and you go with a different choice (even if the the probability of success is only *slightly* lower (which wasn't the case last night)), then it was a stupid decision.
If choice number 1 has a 75% chance of success and choice number 2 has a 70% chance of success and you still go with choice number 2, then I file that decision under "retarded," "asinine," or "wrong."
My guess is you'd think choice number 2 was still a good (or defensible) choice, even if the likelihood of success was slightly lower.
Am I on the right track?
In my book, if there's a decision that has the highest probability of success, and you go with a different choice (even if the the probability of success is only *slightly* lower (which wasn't the case last night)), then it was a stupid decision.
If choice number 1 has a 75% chance of success and choice number 2 has a 70% chance of success and you still go with choice number 2, then I file that decision under "retarded," "asinine," or "wrong."
My guess is you'd think choice number 2 was still a good (or defensible) choice, even if the likelihood of success was slightly lower.
Am I on the right track?