Soriano

[ruby23]

<!--quoteo(post=30083:date=Apr 13 2009, 05:55 PM:name=KBwsb)-->QUOTE (KBwsb @ Apr 13 2009, 05:55 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=30063:date=Apr 13 2009, 05:13 PM:name=bz)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (bz @ Apr 13 2009, 05:13 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->Using the stats Kid provided I plugged Soriano into the leadoff spot using his career averages there. In the second lineup I moved everyone down sans Fuk and plugged Soriano into the 3rd spot using his career stats out of the leadoff spot. I used last years statistics for the other players.

Lineup with Soriano leading off = 5.666 runs per game

Lineup with Soriano batting 3rd = 5.567 runs per game

Based on this model, the team is slightly better with Soriano leading off. Granted, this only accounts for about an extra 16 runs over the course of the season.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
My favorite part of that was this: scroll down to lower on the page, where the site lists "best possible lineups," and then gives various different combinations.
There are 30 different "best" lineups for the Cubs.

Number of those in which Alf leads off? (heh heh)
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Of the "30 best" 18 of them have the pitcher's spot not 9th too. So, I'm gonna go ahead and basically write this program off as completely flawed (although it "shows" the Soriano is better at 1st than 3rd).