02-25-2009, 10:55 PM
<!--quoteo(post=20363:date=Feb 25 2009, 08:52 PM:name=BT)-->QUOTE (BT @ Feb 25 2009, 08:52 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=20343:date=Feb 25 2009, 08:25 PM:name=ruby23)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (ruby23 @ Feb 25 2009, 08:25 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=20335:date=Feb 25 2009, 08:16 PM:name=BT)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (BT @ Feb 25 2009, 08:16 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec--><!--quoteo(post=20317:date=Feb 25 2009, 06:39 PM:name=chitownwinninitall)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (chitownwinninitall @ Feb 25 2009, 06:39 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}><!--quotec-->I'll ask the question because I don't have the patience to try and figure out the answer. Is there any data on the percentage of high school and college picks that where either all stars or at least mlb regulars? Looking up no data I would think more college draft picks end up being mlb regulars but have no idea which group would produce the most all stars.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Baseball Prospectus goes over a lot of that here:
high school vs college
Mixed results.
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<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->College players taken in the first three rounds are about 50% more likely to reach the majors than high school players;
College players, on average, yield about 55% more value than high school players drafted with the same pick.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
That tells me just about all I need to know
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Read the whole thing. You are missing half of their conclusions. Actually you are missing the entire point of the article.
<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->Actually, it's even smaller than that. As you can see from the numbers, while high-school players lag their collegiate counterparts in the first six years after the draft, the lines cross at Y7 (when collegiate players are about 28, and high schoolers are only 25), and then high-school players have more value from Y8 through Y10, when our study runs out of numbers to crunch. It stands to reason that with the benefit of more years of data, the gap between high school and college players would narrow further.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
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The conclusion you list doesn't negate the first 2 points though.
Baseball Prospectus goes over a lot of that here:
high school vs college
Mixed results.
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->College players taken in the first three rounds are about 50% more likely to reach the majors than high school players;
College players, on average, yield about 55% more value than high school players drafted with the same pick.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
That tells me just about all I need to know
<!--QuoteEnd--></div><!--QuoteEEnd-->
Read the whole thing. You are missing half of their conclusions. Actually you are missing the entire point of the article.
<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->Actually, it's even smaller than that. As you can see from the numbers, while high-school players lag their collegiate counterparts in the first six years after the draft, the lines cross at Y7 (when collegiate players are about 28, and high schoolers are only 25), and then high-school players have more value from Y8 through Y10, when our study runs out of numbers to crunch. It stands to reason that with the benefit of more years of data, the gap between high school and college players would narrow further.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
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The conclusion you list doesn't negate the first 2 points though.