02-14-2009, 02:56 PM
<!--quoteo-->QUOTE <!--quotec-->Keith Law: There are no productive outs. Just discard the term. Unless a run scores directly on the play, an out nearly always puts a major dent in your run expectation for the inning. So GMs who take "productive outs" into account are ... bad GMs.<!--QuoteEnd--><!--QuoteEEnd-->
It is like a high school principal that says "we don't believe in sex before wedlock, so we don't talk about condoms."
Outs happen 65% of the time. Why would you want a GM that only thinks about 35% of the game? When you add up all the stats, with all the big innings where a lot of people get on base and a lot of them score, productive out are not a big factor. When you watch the game, most of the time you are watching people get out. Outs are not just the absence of getting on base, they are 65% of what we know and love as baseball.
Watching baseball, includes seeing all the things that happen to get a base runner home. Running, base stealing, pick off throws, productive outs etc. It does not seem like you could be watching the games and say there are no productive outs.
It is like a high school principal that says "we don't believe in sex before wedlock, so we don't talk about condoms."
Outs happen 65% of the time. Why would you want a GM that only thinks about 35% of the game? When you add up all the stats, with all the big innings where a lot of people get on base and a lot of them score, productive out are not a big factor. When you watch the game, most of the time you are watching people get out. Outs are not just the absence of getting on base, they are 65% of what we know and love as baseball.
Watching baseball, includes seeing all the things that happen to get a base runner home. Running, base stealing, pick off throws, productive outs etc. It does not seem like you could be watching the games and say there are no productive outs.
I like you guys a lot.