10-24-2013, 03:15 PM
Quote:So, based on this years 1.6 WAR, $10M / WAR isn't a lot?
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="CFOrfan" data-cid="211203" data-time="1382640395">
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="CubbieBlues" data-cid="211199" data-time="1382638868">
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="CFOrfan" data-cid="211198" data-time="1382638597">
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Overpaid for Lincecum? Yes, but not by a lot.
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Based on that, yes. However, he is expected to perform better based on numbers from this past season. Lincecum's xFIP, xFIP-, SIERA, etc are right there with Latos, CC, Gio Gonzalez, (depending which stat you look at). Would you give any of those guys $35mil/2 years? I would and not think twice. Would I give it to Lincecum? No, but considering he would likely get more on an open market...$17.5mil isn't THAT far off how much I would've given him per season.
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Latos only makes: 2013: $4.2M, 2014: $7.2M (2.9 WAR at signing)
Gio Gonzalea : 2012: $3.2M, 2013: $6.2M, 2014: $8.5M, 2015: $11M, 2016: $12M (3.3 WAR at signing)
CC: 2012: $23M, 2013: $23M, 2014: $23M, 2015: $23M, 2016: $25M (6.5 WAR at signing)
Tim Lincecum: average of 2014: $17M 2015: $17M (1.6 WAR at signing)
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Gio signed his before the 2012 season, in which he won 21 games. Latos signed to avoid arbitration. No way do those guys get that little on the open market in 2013 off-season.
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