08-14-2013, 03:30 PM
95% of the time teams will fall within 2 standard deviations. So, if they are a .500 team (which I would argue they were at the beginning of the year) 95% of the time they would fall between 94 & 64 wins. and 68% of the time they would have between 87 & 74 wins. We are outside the 2 standard deviations range as with our current winning percentage we will win 70 games this year (I realize it can't really be extrapolated that way). So, as I see it, we have been about as bad as we could of possibly been this year.
*standard deviation is 6.36 for a .500 team.
*standard deviation is 6.36 for a .500 team.
"It's not the dress that makes you look fat, it's the fat that makes you look fat." - Al Bundy
"Ow" - Dylan Bundy
"Ow" - Dylan Bundy