12-20-2010, 12:05 AM
Greinke:
2004-06 - Mixed bags, but not great overall.
2007-08 - Mostly very good, but he spent a lot of time in 2007 hurt or in the bullpen.
2009 - Unbelievably good year.
2010 - Decent, but he got pounded several times and had confidence issues at various times throughout the season.
I'd say it is not a sure thing that he will dominate in 2011, especially given the high expectations put on him. Not saying I wouldn't take him at this stage of his career, but he is very much a high risk/high reward SP at this point, not a sure thing.
2004-06 - Mixed bags, but not great overall.
2007-08 - Mostly very good, but he spent a lot of time in 2007 hurt or in the bullpen.
2009 - Unbelievably good year.
2010 - Decent, but he got pounded several times and had confidence issues at various times throughout the season.
I'd say it is not a sure thing that he will dominate in 2011, especially given the high expectations put on him. Not saying I wouldn't take him at this stage of his career, but he is very much a high risk/high reward SP at this point, not a sure thing.